Attractor merging crisis in chaotic business cycles

被引：81

作者：

Chian, ACL

Borotto, FA

Rempel, EL

Rogers, C

机构：

[1] Natl Inst Space Res, INPE, BR-12227010 Sao Jose Dos Campos, SP, Brazil

[2] WISER, BR-12227010 Sao Jose Dos Campos, SP, Brazil

[3] Univ Adelaide, Sch Econ, Adelaide, SA 5005, Australia

[4] Univ Concepcion, Dept Phys, Concepcion, Chile

来源：

CHAOS SOLITONS & FRACTALS | 2005年 / 24卷 / 03期

基金：

巴西圣保罗研究基金会;

关键词：

D O I：

10.1016/j.chaos.2004.09.080

中图分类号：

O1 [数学];

学科分类号：

0701 ; 070101 ;

摘要：

A numerical study is performed on a forced-oscillator model of nonlinear business cycles. An attractor merging crisis due to a global bifurcation is analyzed using the unstable periodic orbits and their associated stable and unstable manifolds. Characterization of crisis can improve our ability to forecast sudden major changes in economic systems. (C) 2004 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.

引用

页码：869 / 875

页数：7

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