Effect of radar rainfall time resolution on the predictive capability of a distributed hydrologic model

被引:21
作者
Atencia, A. [1 ,2 ]
Mediero, L. [3 ]
Llasat, M. C. [2 ]
Garrote, L. [3 ]
机构
[1] Meteorol Serv Catalonia, Barcelona, Spain
[2] Univ Barcelona, Fac Phys, Dept Astron & Meteorol, Barcelona, Spain
[3] Tech Univ Madrid, Dept Hydraul & Energy Engn, Madrid, Spain
关键词
WEATHER RADAR; FLASH FLOODS; CONVECTIVE STRUCTURES; SPATIAL VARIABILITY; IBERIAN PENINSULA; HEAVY RAINFALL; CLASSIFICATION; REFLECTIVITY; CALIBRATION; METHODOLOGY;
D O I
10.5194/hess-15-3809-2011
中图分类号
P [天文学、地球科学];
学科分类号
07 ;
摘要
The performance of a hydrologic model depends on the rainfall input data, both spatially and temporally. As the spatial distribution of rainfall exerts a great influence on both runoff volumes and peak flows, the use of a distributed hydrologic model can improve the results in the case of convective rainfall in a basin where the storm area is smaller than the basin area. The aim of this study was to perform a sensitivity analysis of the rainfall time resolution on the results of a distributed hydrologic model in a flash-flood prone basin. Within such a catchment, floods are produced by heavy rainfall events with a large convective component. A second objective of the current paper is the proposal of a methodology that improves the radar rainfall estimation at a higher spatial and temporal resolution. Composite radar data from a network of three C-band radars with 6-min temporal and 2 x 2 km(2) spatial resolution were used to feed the RIBS distributed hydrological model. A modification of the Window Probability Matching Method (gauge-adjustment method) was applied to four cases of heavy rainfall to improve the observed rainfall sub-estimation by computing new Z/R relationships for both convective and stratiform reflectivities. An advection correction technique based on the cross-correlation between two consecutive images was introduced to obtain several time resolutions from 1 min to 30 min. The RIBS hydrologic model was calibrated using a probabilistic approach based on a multiobjective methodology for each time resolution. A sensitivity analysis of rainfall time resolution was conducted to find the resolution that best represents the hydrological basin behaviour.
引用
收藏
页码:3809 / 3827
页数:19
相关论文
共 76 条
  • [41] 2
  • [42] A probabilistic model to support reservoir operation decisions during flash floods
    Mediero, L.
    Garrote, L.
    Martin-Carrasco, F.
    [J]. HYDROLOGICAL SCIENCES JOURNAL-JOURNAL DES SCIENCES HYDROLOGIQUES, 2007, 52 (03): : 523 - 537
  • [43] Probabilistic calibration of a distributed hydrological model for flood forecasting
    Mediero, L.
    Garrote, L.
    Martin-Carrasco, F. J.
    [J]. HYDROLOGICAL SCIENCES JOURNAL-JOURNAL DES SCIENCES HYDROLOGIQUES, 2011, 56 (07): : 1129 - 1149
  • [45] The characteristic time scale for basin hydrological response using radar data
    Morin, E
    Enzel, Y
    Shamir, U
    Garti, R
    [J]. JOURNAL OF HYDROLOGY, 2001, 252 (1-4) : 85 - 99
  • [46] Radar-based quantitative precipitation estimation over Mediterranean and dry climate regimes
    Morin, Efrat
    Gabella, Marco
    [J]. JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES, 2007, 112 (D20)
  • [47] On the impact of rainfall patterns on the hydrologic response
    Nicotina, L.
    Celegon, E. Alessi
    Rinaldo, A.
    Marani, M.
    [J]. WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH, 2008, 44 (12)
  • [48] ESTIMATION OF A PROBABILITY DENSITY-FUNCTION AND MODE
    PARZEN, E
    [J]. ANNALS OF MATHEMATICAL STATISTICS, 1962, 33 (03): : 1065 - &
  • [49] The FLASH Project: using lightning data to better understand and predict flash floods
    Price, C.
    Yair, Y.
    Mugnai, A.
    Lagouvardos, K.
    Llasat, M. C.
    Michaelides, S.
    Dayan, U.
    Dietrich, S.
    Galanti, E.
    Garrote, L.
    Harats, N.
    Katsanos, D.
    Kohn, M.
    Kotroni, V.
    Llasat-Botija, M.
    Lynn, B.
    Mediero, L.
    Morin, E.
    Nicolaides, K.
    Rozalis, S.
    Savvidou, K.
    Ziv, B.
    [J]. ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE & POLICY, 2011, 14 (07) : 898 - 911
  • [50] Parameterisation, calibration and validation of distributed hydrological models
    Refsgaard, JC
    [J]. JOURNAL OF HYDROLOGY, 1997, 198 (1-4) : 69 - 97