A new model for time-series forecasting using radial basis functions and exogenous data

被引:15
作者
Górriz, JM
Puntonet, CG
Salmerón, M
de la Rosa, JJG
机构
[1] Univ Cadiz, Dept Syst Engn & Automat, Cadiz, Spain
[2] Univ Granada, Dept Comp Architecture & Comp Technol, E-18071 Granada, Spain
关键词
D O I
10.1007/s00521-004-0412-5
中图分类号
TP18 [人工智能理论];
学科分类号
081104 ; 0812 ; 0835 ; 1405 ;
摘要
In this paper, we present a new model for time-series forecasting using radial basis functions (RBFs) as a unit of artificial neural networks (ANNs), which allows the inclusion of exogenous information (EI) without additional pre-processing. We begin by summarizing the most well-known El techniques used ad hoc, i.e., principal component analysis (PCA) and independent component analysis (ICA). We analyze the advantages and disadvantages of these techniques in time-series forecasting using Spanish bank and company stocks. Then, we describe a new hybrid model for time-series forecasting which combines ANNs with genetic algorithms (GAs). We also describe the possibilities when implementing the model on parallel processing systems.
引用
收藏
页码:101 / 111
页数:11
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