A mid-term analysis of progress toward international biodiversity targets

被引:870
作者
Tittensor, Derek P. [1 ,2 ]
Walpole, Matt [1 ]
Hill, Samantha L. L. [1 ]
Boyce, Daniel G. [3 ,4 ]
Britten, Gregory L. [2 ]
Burgess, Neil D. [1 ,5 ]
Butchart, Stuart H. M. [6 ]
Leadley, Paul W. [7 ]
Regan, Eugenie C. [1 ]
Alkemade, Rob [8 ]
Baumung, Roswitha [9 ]
Bellard, Celine [7 ]
Bouwman, Lex [8 ,10 ]
Bowles-Newark, Nadine J. [1 ]
Chenery, Anna M. [1 ]
Cheung, William W. L. [11 ]
Christensen, Villy [11 ]
Cooper, H. David [12 ]
Crowther, Annabel R. [1 ]
Dixon, Matthew J. R. [1 ]
Galli, Alessandro [13 ]
Gaveau, Valerie [14 ]
Gregory, Richard D. [15 ]
Gutierrez, Nicolas L. [16 ]
Hirsch, Tim L. [17 ]
Hoeft, Robert [12 ]
Januchowski-Hartley, Stephanie R. [18 ]
Karmann, Marion [19 ]
Krug, Cornelia B. [7 ,20 ]
Leverington, Fiona J. [21 ]
Loh, Jonathan [22 ]
Lojenga, Rik Kutsch [23 ]
Malsch, Kelly [1 ]
Marques, Alexandra [24 ]
Morgan, David H. W. [26 ]
Mumby, Peter J. [27 ]
Newbold, Tim [1 ]
Noonan-Mooney, Kieran [12 ]
Pagad, Shyama N. [28 ]
Parks, Bradley C. [29 ]
Pereira, Henrique M. [24 ,25 ]
Robertson, Tim [17 ]
Rondinini, Carlo [30 ]
Santini, Luca [30 ]
Scharlemann, Joern P. W. [1 ,31 ]
Schindler, Stefan [32 ,33 ]
Sumaila, U. Rashid [11 ]
Teh, Louise S. L. [11 ]
van Kolck, Jennifer [8 ]
Visconti, Piero [34 ]
机构
[1] UNEP WCMC, 219 Huntingdon Rd, Cambridge CB3 0DL, England
[2] Dalhousie Univ, Dept Biol, Halifax, NS B3H 4R2, Canada
[3] Queens Univ, Dept Biol, Kingston, ON K7L 3N6, Canada
[4] Bedford Inst Oceanog, Ocean Sci Div, Dartmouth, NS B2Y 4A2, Canada
[5] Nat Hist Museum, Ctr Macroecol Evolut & Climate, DK-2100 Copenhagen, Denmark
[6] BirdLife Int, Cambridge CB3 0NA, England
[7] Univ Paris Sud, CNRS, UMR 8079, ESE Lab, F-91405 Orsay, France
[8] PBL Netherlands Environm Assessment Agcy, NL-3720 AH Bilthoven, Netherlands
[9] UN, Food & Agr Org, I-00153 Rome, Italy
[10] Univ Utrecht, Fac Geosci, Dept Earth Sci Geochem, NL-3508 TA Utrecht, Netherlands
[11] Univ British Columbia, Fisheries Ctr, Vancouver, BC V6T 1Z4, Canada
[12] Secretariat Convent Biol Divers, Montreal, PQ H2Y 1N9, Canada
[13] Global Footprint Network, CH-1219 Geneva, Switzerland
[14] Org Econ Cooperat & Dev, F-75775 Paris 16, France
[15] RSPB Ctr Conservat Sci Lodge, Sandy SG19 2DL, Beds, England
[16] Marine Stewardship Council, London EC1A 2DH, England
[17] Global Biodivers Informat Facil GBIF Secretariat, DK-2100 Copenhagen, Denmark
[18] Univ Wisconsin, Ctr Limnol, Madison, WI 53706 USA
[19] Forest Stewardship Council FSC Int, D-53113 Bonn, Germany
[20] DIVERSITAS, F-75231 Paris 05, France
[21] Univ Queensland, Middleton, Qld 4735, Australia
[22] Zool Soc London, London NW1 4RY, England
[23] Union Eth BioTrade, NL-1013 AA Amsterdam, Netherlands
[24] German Ctr Integrat Biodivers Res iDiv, D-04103 Leipzig, Germany
[25] Univ Halle Wittenberg, Inst Biol, D-06108 Halle, Saale, Germany
[26] Convent Int Trade Endangered Species Secretariat, CH-1219 Geneva, Switzerland
[27] Univ Queensland, Sch Biol Sci, Marine Spatial Ecol Lab, St Lucia Brisbane, Qld 4072, Australia
[28] Univ Auckland, Invas Species Specialist Grp, IUCN SSC, Auckland 1, New Zealand
[29] Coll William & Mary, Williamsburg, VA 23187 USA
[30] Univ Roma La Sapienza, Dept Biol & Biotechnol, I-00185 Rome, Italy
[31] Univ Sussex, Sch Life Sci, Brighton BN1 9QG, E Sussex, England
[32] Environm Agcy Austria, Dept Biodivers & Nat Conservat, A-1090 Vienna, Austria
[33] Univ Vienna, Dept Bot & Biodivers Res, Div Conservat Biol Vegetat Ecol & Landscape Ecol, A-1030 Vienna, Austria
[34] Microsoft Res, Sci Computat Lab, Cambridge CB1 2FB, England
基金
加拿大自然科学与工程研究理事会; 美国国家科学基金会;
关键词
CONSERVATION; IMPACT;
D O I
10.1126/science.1257484
中图分类号
O [数理科学和化学]; P [天文学、地球科学]; Q [生物科学]; N [自然科学总论];
学科分类号
07 ; 0710 ; 09 ;
摘要
In 2010, the international community, under the auspices of the Convention on Biological Diversity, agreed on 20 biodiversity-related "Aichi Targets" to be achieved within a decade. We provide a comprehensive mid-term assessment of progress toward these global targets using 55 indicator data sets. We projected indicator trends to 2020 using an adaptive statistical framework that incorporated the specific properties of individual time series. On current trajectories, results suggest that despite accelerating policy and management responses to the biodiversity crisis, the impacts of these efforts are unlikely to be reflected in improved trends in the state of biodiversity by 2020. We highlight areas of societal endeavor requiring additional efforts to achieve the Aichi Targets, and provide a baseline against which to assess future progress.
引用
收藏
页码:241 / 244
页数:4
相关论文
共 20 条
[1]  
[Anonymous], 2002, Model selection and multimodel inference: a practical informationtheoretic approach
[2]  
[Anonymous], 2007, PREAMBL CONV BIOL DI
[3]  
[Anonymous], 2010, GLOB BIOD OUTL 3
[4]  
[Anonymous], [No title captured]
[5]   Restoration of ecosystem services and biodiversity: conflicts and opportunities [J].
Bullock, James M. ;
Aronson, James ;
Newton, Adrian C. ;
Pywell, Richard F. ;
Rey-Benayas, Jose M. .
TRENDS IN ECOLOGY & EVOLUTION, 2011, 26 (10) :541-549
[6]   Global Biodiversity: Indicators of Recent Declines [J].
Butchart, Stuart H. M. ;
Walpole, Matt ;
Collen, Ben ;
van Strien, Arco ;
Scharlemann, Joern P. W. ;
Almond, Rosamunde E. A. ;
Baillie, Jonathan E. M. ;
Bomhard, Bastian ;
Brown, Claire ;
Bruno, John ;
Carpenter, Kent E. ;
Carr, Genevieve M. ;
Chanson, Janice ;
Chenery, Anna M. ;
Csirke, Jorge ;
Davidson, Nick C. ;
Dentener, Frank ;
Foster, Matt ;
Galli, Alessandro ;
Galloway, James N. ;
Genovesi, Piero ;
Gregory, Richard D. ;
Hockings, Marc ;
Kapos, Valerie ;
Lamarque, Jean-Francois ;
Leverington, Fiona ;
Loh, Jonathan ;
McGeoch, Melodie A. ;
McRae, Louise ;
Minasyan, Anahit ;
Morcillo, Monica Hernandez ;
Oldfield, Thomasina E. E. ;
Pauly, Daniel ;
Quader, Suhel ;
Revenga, Carmen ;
Sauer, John R. ;
Skolnik, Benjamin ;
Spear, Dian ;
Stanwell-Smith, Damon ;
Stuart, Simon N. ;
Symes, Andy ;
Tierney, Megan ;
Tyrrell, Tristan D. ;
Vie, Jean-Christophe ;
Watson, Reg .
SCIENCE, 2010, 328 (5982) :1164-1168
[7]   Biodiversity loss and its impact on humanity [J].
Cardinale, Bradley J. ;
Duffy, J. Emmett ;
Gonzalez, Andrew ;
Hooper, David U. ;
Perrings, Charles ;
Venail, Patrick ;
Narwani, Anita ;
Mace, Georgina M. ;
Tilman, David ;
Wardle, David A. ;
Kinzig, Ann P. ;
Daily, Gretchen C. ;
Loreau, Michel ;
Grace, James B. ;
Larigauderie, Anne ;
Srivastava, Diane S. ;
Naeem, Shahid .
NATURE, 2012, 486 (7401) :59-67
[8]   A Retrospective Evaluation of the Global Decline of Carnivores and Ungulates [J].
Di Marco, M. ;
Boitani, L. ;
Mallon, D. ;
Hoffmann, M. ;
Iacucci, A. ;
Meijaard, E. ;
Visconti, P. ;
Schipper, J. ;
Rondinini, C. .
CONSERVATION BIOLOGY, 2014, 28 (04) :1109-1118
[9]  
Durbin J., 2012, Time Series Analysis by State Space Methods
[10]   The Impact of Conservation on the Status of the World's Vertebrates [J].
Hoffmann, Michael ;
Hilton-Taylor, Craig ;
Angulo, Ariadne ;
Boehm, Monika ;
Brooks, Thomas M. ;
Butchart, Stuart H. M. ;
Carpenter, Kent E. ;
Chanson, Janice ;
Collen, Ben ;
Cox, Neil A. ;
Darwall, William R. T. ;
Dulvy, Nicholas K. ;
Harrison, Lucy R. ;
Katariya, Vineet ;
Pollock, Caroline M. ;
Quader, Suhel ;
Richman, Nadia I. ;
Rodrigues, Ana S. L. ;
Tognelli, Marcelo F. ;
Vie, Jean-Christophe ;
Aguiar, John M. ;
Allen, David J. ;
Allen, Gerald R. ;
Amori, Giovanni ;
Ananjeva, Natalia B. ;
Andreone, Franco ;
Andrew, Paul ;
Aquino Ortiz, Aida Luz ;
Baillie, Jonathan E. M. ;
Baldi, Ricardo ;
Bell, Ben D. ;
Biju, S. D. ;
Bird, Jeremy P. ;
Black-Decima, Patricia ;
Blanc, J. Julian ;
Bolanos, Federico ;
Bolivar-G, Wilmar ;
Burfield, Ian J. ;
Burton, James A. ;
Capper, David R. ;
Castro, Fernando ;
Catullo, Gianluca ;
Cavanagh, Rachel D. ;
Channing, Alan ;
Chao, Ning Labbish ;
Chenery, Anna M. ;
Chiozza, Federica ;
Clausnitzer, Viola ;
Collar, Nigel J. ;
Collett, Leah C. .
SCIENCE, 2010, 330 (6010) :1503-1509