Unresolved issues with the assessment of multidecadal global land surface temperature trends

被引：139

作者：

Pielke, Roger A., Sr. ^{[1
]}

Davey, Christopher A. ^{[2
]}

Niyogi, Dev ^{[3
,4
]}

Fall, Souleymane ^{[4
]}

Steinweg-Woods, Jesse ^{[3
,4
,14
]}

Hubbard, Ken ^{[10
]}

Lin, Xiaomao ^{[10
]}

Cai, Ming ^{[6
]}

Lim, Young-Kwon ^{[12
]}

Li, Hong ^{[11
]}

Nielsen-Gammon, John

Gallo, Kevin ^{[8
]}

Hale, Robert ^{[9
]}

Mahmood, Rezaul ^{[7
]}

Foster, Stuart ^{[7
]}

McNider, Richard T. ^{[13
]}

Blanken, Peter ^{[5
]}

机构：

[1] Univ Colorado, CIRES ATOC, Boulder, CO 80309 USA

[2] Desert Res Inst, Reno, NV 89512 USA

[3] Purdue Univ, Dept Earth & Atmospher Sci, W Lafayette, IN 47907 USA

[4] Purdue Univ, Dept Agron, W Lafayette, IN 47907 USA

[5] Univ Colorado, Dept Geog & Environm Studies, Boulder, CO 80309 USA

[6] Florida State Univ, Dept Meteorol, Tallahassee, FL 32306 USA

[7] Western Kentucky Univ, Dept Geog & Geol, Bowling Green, KY 42101 USA

[8] NOAA NESDIS, Ctr Satellite Applicat & Res, Camp Springs, MD 20746 USA

[9] Colorado State Univ, CIRA, Ft Collins, CO 80523 USA

[10] Univ Nebraska, Sch Nat Resources, Lincoln, NE 68583 USA

[11] Univ Maryland, Dept Atmospher Ocean & Sci, College Pk, MD 20742 USA

[12] Florida State Univ, Ctr Ocean Atmospher Predict Studies, Tallahassee, FL 32306 USA

[13] Univ Alabama, Dept Atmospher Sci, Huntsville, AL 35899 USA

[14] Texas A&M Univ, Dept Atmospher Sci, College Stn, TX 77843 USA

来源：

JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES | 2007年 / 112卷 / D24期

关键词：

D O I：

10.1029/2006JD008229

中图分类号：

P4 [大气科学（气象学）];

学科分类号：

0706 ; 070601 ;

摘要：

This paper documents various unresolved issues in using surface temperature trends as a metric for assessing global and regional climate change. A series of examples ranging from errors caused by temperature measurements at a monitoring station to the undocumented biases in the regionally and globally averaged time series are provided. The issues are poorly understood or documented and relate to micrometeorological impacts due to warm bias in nighttime minimum temperatures, poor siting of the instrumentation, effect of winds as well as surface atmospheric water vapor content on temperature trends, the quantification of uncertainties in the homogenization of surface temperature data, and the influence of land use/land cover (LULC) change on surface temperature trends. Because of the issues presented in this paper related to the analysis of multidecadal surface temperature we recommend that greater, more complete documentation and quantification of these issues be required for all observation stations that are intended to be used in such assessments. This is necessary for confidence in the actual observations of surface temperature variability and long-term trends.

引用

页数：26

共 103 条

[11] Methodology and results of calculating central california surface temperature trends: Evidence of human-induced climate change? [J].

Christy, JR ;

Norris, WB ;

Redmond, K ;

Gallo, KP .

JOURNAL OF CLIMATE, 2006, 19 (04) :548-563

[12] A global dataset of Palmer Drought Severity Index for 1870-2002: Relationship with soil moisture and effects of surface warming [J].

Dai, A ;

Trenberth, KE ;

Qian, TT .

JOURNAL OF HYDROMETEOROLOGY, 2004, 5 (06) :1117-1130

[13] Microclimate exposures of surface-based weather stations - Implications for the assessment of long-term femperature trends [J].

Davey, CA ;

Pielke, RA .

BULLETIN OF THE AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY, 2005, 86 (04) :497-+

[14] Differences between near-surface equivalent temperature and temperature trends for the Eastern United States - Equivalent temperature as an alternative measure of heat content [J].

Davey, Christopher A. ;

Pielke, Roger A., Sr. ;

Gallo, Kevin P. .

GLOBAL AND PLANETARY CHANGE, 2006, 54 (1-2) :19-32

[15] Attributes of several methods for detecting discontinuities in mean temperature series [J].

DeGaetano, AT .

JOURNAL OF CLIMATE, 2006, 19 (05) :838-853

[16]

Easterling D.R., 1996, US HIST CLIMATOLOGY

[17] A NEW METHOD FOR DETECTING UNDOCUMENTED DISCONTINUITIES IN CLIMATOLOGICAL TIME-SERIES [J].

EASTERLING, DR ;

PETERSON, TC .

INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, 1995, 15 (04) :369-377

[18] The regional effects of CO2 and landscape change using a coupled plant and meteorological model [J].

Eastman, JL ;

Coughenour, MB ;

Pielke, RA .

GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY, 2001, 7 (07) :797-815

[19]

FLORA SD, 1920, MON WEA REV, V48, P271

[20] Global temperature change and its uncertainties since 1861 [J].

Folland, CK ;

Rayner, NA ;

Brown, SJ ;

Smith, TM ;

Shen, SSP ;

Parker, DE ;

Macadam, I ;

Jones, PD ;

Jones, RN ;

Nicholls, N ;

Sexton, DMH .

GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2001, 28 (13) :2621-2624

← 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 →